Economy prediction... What's yours?

My prediction is the economy is about to tank starting with the car market including auto loan, transportation ,(trucking) and dealership businesses.

Most companies will reduce incentives vs raise prices.

Sales will slow, car production will be cut.

Dealers will try to make max profit and bring back market adjustments.

Consumers will shy away from New purchases, used car inventory will dwindle

Upside down loans and leases will rapidly become due or people will try to get out of loans.

Short surge in used car prices followed by full meltdown.

Wdyt??

I predict that this thread will be on slow mode soon lol.

Honestly, who the hell knows? There’s way too many moving parts and people aren’t being rational

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How can the used car market go up and people still be upside down in their loans?

I do believe one of them is likely, but both at the same time is contradictory.

My prediction is probably the darkest and most negative youll read, we are headed for a complete meltdown
if these tarriffs are not lifted and there is a continous trade war , entire world markets are going to suffer and as a whole the entire world will fall into the deepest recession we have ever seen 
maybe even a depression. These tarriffs are about to unleash extreme unemployment, high inflation and negative GDP growth. Equites will continue to lose trillions of dollars as earnings start to decline, without economic expansion due to heavy tarriffs economies will fall straight into the abyss..

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I predict LH to be on permanent slow mode, meme generators to start charging for their service, or even shut down, and last but not least a certain someone getting a gt3 rs at or under MSRP!

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This. This is the first downturn of this magnitude that can be completely ended with the stroke of the president’s pen. Normally presidents get blamed for economic results largely outside their control. This is not that.

Maybe trump lifts all the tariffs suddenly. The market gains 10% overnight and the group that gets advanced notice of this happening walks away with $500 billion dollars in gains.

What I do know is that people on here aren’t particularly good at predicting the economic future. From permanent 10 dollar a gallon gas, to 30% inflation in 2022 to a new equilibrium with OEMs permanently keeping inventory super tight, it’s all been predicted on numerous threads over the last five years. Yet here we are. Unless you have Trump’s ear you have no idea what’s gonna happen .

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Exactly, I have posted several times that Donald can go live on monday and just say these 2 words ‘Just Kidding’ and we’ll have the biggest rally, huge. :face_with_tongue:

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Someone certainly nailed the 30% inflation part of that. They were just off by 6.5% from the official numbers

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At this point, even Donald Trump himself can’t predict the future. Just because, the US lifts tariffs doesn’t mean the rest of the world would. And not mention whether other countries consumers are willing to continue to support American companies. The genie in the bottle has been unleashed. For example, if you’re a patriotic Canadian, would you ever buy a Tesla? We still don’t know how the rest of the world will react

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How many of these threads are we going to have? Everything that will be said in this thread has been said in the thread before that. And the thread before that. And the thread before that

Horse has been beat past death at this point

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Its a thread within a thread within a thread. Inception

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Then followed by “It’s live from New York. It’s S̶a̶t̶u̶r̶d̶a̶y̶ Monday Night Live!”

Did someone say they needed a thread shut down?

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You might want to read “the boy who cried wolf” for what happens with repeated applications of “just kidding”.

We should call tomorrow orange Monday and the ensuing global recession the Trump recession, Nikkei already hitting the circuit breakers after this:

https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1909025396625993806/photo/1

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We never take the dealers first offer
Wait till end of month Trump lol

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Super anecdotal evidence, but I don’t think China is going to be willing deal anymore. Social Media there is heavily defiant and pushing for a trade war with the US.

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Culturally speaking, saving face is far more important in their culture so it would be very surprising if they were to offer to remove the tariffs entirely as oppose to escalating things to a full-on tariff war bring the bilateral trade into a complete halt.

I disagree, they’ve been extremely measured and much more willing to negotiate until recently. While saving face is important, they also plan long term and are relatively immune to day to day politics. The fact is that they basically almost didn’t retaliate with the first round at 20 percent. This is the second round of 34% and they refused to talk nor let the Europeans and Canadians take the lead as usual.

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