@BenzBuyer, @Jon, @AMM, Thank you all for your responses. They were very helpful.
Ok, this is what I believe happened.
I had a quote from a dealer for a slightly less expensive car ($46,505 MSRP) paying $449 a month with $2921 drive off plus maintenance.
I took that to this dealer. They offered me $400 a month on the slightly higher $47,255 MSRP car above with $3300 drive off.
Ok, now they have to “play” with their system to make those numbers fit with whatever the breakdown of car discount, fees, taxes, MF, etc. are.
I then inquire about maintenance. They wouldn’t do a free maintenance but gave me a discount on the normal price. They offered $875 and told me that LoJack was an extra $225 but they were including it free.
So divide $875 by 36 months and the monthly payments go up to $424.30, but still drive off staying the same at $3300.
Now they have to go back to their system and “play” with the numbers again to bring the total down to 424.30/month with 3300 drive off. If they input maintenance and LoJack, their computers are going to add whatever the original price of those things are ($1275 and $225). And taxes, license and registration are what they are, you can’t do anything with those and NY requires them to be paid upfront. So I believe to make the numbers converge, they played with the car discount and the MF.
Here is what the final breakdown looks like:
MSRP: $47,255
Discount: $8,095.32
Sale Price: $39,159.68
Taxes, title, licenses, registration: $1,837.34
Acquisition fee: $1,095
Processing fee: $495
LoJack: $225
3 year Pre-paid Maintenance: $1,275
Gross Capitalized Cost: $44,087.02
Capitalized cost reductions: $2,875.70
Adjusted Capitalized Cost: $41,211.32
Residual value at 62.2586% of MSRP: $29,420.30
Rent Charge: $3,483.78
That amounts to a MF = 0.00137 including auto-pay.
That takes the monthly payments to the $424.30 agreed, with $3,300 drive off ($2,875.70 capitalized cost reductions + $424.30 first payment).
It also makes the total cost of the lease $18,745.50 (including the $595 disposition fee paid at the end of the lease).
If I divide $18745.50 by 36 months, I get 1.1% of MSRP, not quite the 1% you guys recommend, but it includes the taxes, maintenance and LoJack (though I am not sure if LoJack is really free in all leases and they’re just trying to make it sound good).