Sharing data point - 2023 Ford Explorer

Initial disclaimer: this deal is horrible, and I’m not signing it, but sharing for reference because there are so few posts on here for 3-row SUVs outside the typical ones discussed on here. And for good reason, as there are much better SUVs you get for this price point. But a data point is a data point, and there are certain people out there that like a specific car no matter how bad of a deal it is compared to others (like my wife!). I’m sharing the BEST initial offer I got of three (the other two were also local dealers with an on-the-lot or in-transit-to-them car).

The car quoted below is a 2023 Ford Explorer ST-Line AWD.

Things to note:

  1. I reached out to three dealers and told them I’d be willing to trade in my current Explorer lease that expires in two weeks (that has positive equity of about $2K, which would be used as a down payment) and buy the new one from them in the next two days, so give me a price with that in mind. I did NOT say “If I sign today, will you do $XXX per month all-in” as I typically would when I know what I want. So these numbers will be artificially high because this is the first and only price they gave me and I did not negotiate.

  2. The quote includes a $3,000 rebate. The folks on Edmunds said there is a $500 rebate in my area (CT), but I have no idea if the dealer is including that in the “rebate” line (I assume they are) and the other $2,500 is for returning an existing Explorer lease.

  3. I checked the MF and Residual rates on Edmunds for my area and they are currently 3.46% APR and 56% residual for a 36 month / 12,000 miles per year lease and 3.71% and 55% residual for 39 months/10,500 miles . I didn’t spend the time to check with the dealers for what they are actually using as their numbers (I just asked for the # of months and miles that would give me the best MF/APR and residual). Therefore, it’s possible (if not likely) that these numbers would come down a bit if I actually spent the time pushing on the mileage (e.g., 10,500) or months (e.g., 36). But still would not come down nearly enough to make this car worthwhile to lease.

  4. The price below includes local CT sales (6.35%) and property taxes (about $55/month), which for a Ford gets included in the price here.

In the end, the prices would drop about $100 if you take out taxes and my guess is that someone could get these numbers down another $100 a month if you really pushed, but it’s also end of year and who knows what 2024 will bring when these are sitting stale on the lot when the 2024s start to come in.

Anyway, hope this helps someone in the future!

Wow I knew Ford’s leased poorly but that is terrible. $37k to lease a $52k car for a payment that could get you something much nicer. Thanks for the data point and hopefully someone who has actually leased one of these for something more reasonable might have a data point to aim for for others

Your point about negotiating is key here. They always come back with a horrible first offer just to see if you had no idea and take the first value. It’s amazing how many people think the price is the price and just say yes. You have to know your numbers and be willing to walk away. I got offered $1000k down and $680 for a $72k jeep and I walked away and by the time I got home I had an email and a text offering me $550 with 0 down. I declined in the end as I didn’t want the car that much. I’m quite tired of leasing always wondering if a better deal is out there, compromising, playing games at dealerships and the time crunch at the end of the lease. When it works, it’s great, when not is exhausting and dealerships and dealers are just a minefield of time wasting games and amazingly I found, lack of follow up. The number of times I’ve walked in wanting to get a car and they let me and my money leave without any sort of ideas or alternatives or negotiating is insane. And often I know more than the salesman about the car. And the time wasting back room chat. Anyways rant over. Enjoy

Yes, agree all around!

I should have added above (and will make the edit), all local taxes (6.35% sales tax and $55/mo property taxes) - are including in the price.

So if you take out taxes local to CT, we’re about $100 lower to start. So it’s not quite as bad as it seems.

Are you sure PPT is included in that price?

The dealer said yes, but I don’t have any other paperwork from them to confirm.

Since I’m in CT and property tax is always included in a Ford lease, I feel like dealers typically do give prices with it included, but again, no way to know for sure because I’m not pushing on the dealer for more info, etc.