Cayman S is replacing the M4. And before anyone asks, no open 911 allocations for an employee lease. I tried and I would like a mid-engine car.
Here is my conundrum. Do I sell the M4 now (I have a “beater” to drive) and potentially get a check for $7k and save 3-4 months of payments or buy it out and use it as a trade-in on a balloon? I will be vague on the lease details since it is an employee deal but it is a $92.5k MSRP with Chicago tax.:
Balloon:
I can buy out my lease now for $63,500 with tax and pay it down to $60,500 by April. MRM is currently $68,000 so lets assume it goes down to $64,000 in April. Trade it in and it works out to either $785/mo for 24 or 36 months with a $3500 trade-in equity as a down payment. However, the trade-in acts as a tax credit, so I save $5800 in taxes. So a total of $9,300 I am essentially “saving” by buying out my lease early and trading in.
So my total cost for 24 months is $22,340 for 24 months or $31,760 for 36 months (monthly x 24 or 36 + 3500 down).
Traditional Lease:
Sell M4 now, profit $6k-$8k plus $790/mo in payments x 4 months = about $10k in my pocket
Lease: 36 months with $3500 due at signing is 1080/mo. Big payment. But lets put down the tax savings from the balloon too and it comes to $900/mo plus I still have about $1000 in my pocket. So my total cost is $36300 for 36 months, so balloon is better here.
However, 24 months gets interesting. $940/mo with $3500 DAS, but $675/mo with the $9300 due so a total of $23825 over 24 months. Essentially $1,400 more than the 24 mo balloon but without risk.
Disregarding the DAS amount of the lease (I would save the $10k and use it to make monthly payments). So the question becomes, am I better off getting a check now for $10k or rolling to dice on the trade-in value to maybe save a few grand in 4 months? Also, the monthly on a 36 month balloon is the same as a 24 month lease/balloon. So is it worth keeping it for an extra year at the same rate with a potential 6 month pull ahead and another tax credit of $5,000.