Do these numbers look feasible?

MSRP: $50,520
Selling Price: $45,000
Rebates: $3,000 Lease Credit + $1,5000 Loyalty
Cap Cost: $40,500

Months: 36
Annual Mileage: 10,000

Residual: $30,817

MF: .000152
Residual: 61%

Total Due At Signing: $1,333
Monthly Payment (incl. tax): $441

New to this, but I think I am understanding more. From what I’ve gathered I should aim for 10% off MSRP before incentives, so should these numbers work?

I currently lease a BMW, should below average credit affect MF in this case or is that solely to the dealers discretion?

Any help is appreciated!

Forgot to add Doc Fee to Signing Cost, should this be $699 in South FL?