I’m not sure if this is an area of expertise for the LH community, but I thought I’d give it a try.
My lease is ending in December on a 23 ID4 pro trim car.
It’s been a good enough car, and I think I may stick with the devil I know rather than switching to a Hyundai Ioniq 5.
My residual is $24,205, and supposedly there is a $3,000 off deal through the end of this month.
My dealer, who is the one I’d have to negotiate with, lied to me about the sales tax on my lease, even after I showed him an email from the trade group representing local dealers that sales taxes are due on EV leases (not sales) in my jurisdiction. That cost me $1,600 over the life of the lease. (This is to say I’m a little irritated by the idea of shopping with him again; but this dealer is the one clearly buying the cars at auction/specializing in low-mileage used ID4s in my region)
This same dealer currently has three CPOs of my model/trim/year, for $21,695 through $23,095. Those have fewer miles than ours (which I expect will have somewhere around $27,000 to $28,000 miles at turn-in). The cheapest CPO has about 19k miles.
Non-CPO same model/trim/year selling at that dealer for $19,495 and $20,795.
The CPO takes you to seven years on broad warranty (the factory battery warranty is 8 years already)
VW Drive Easy is another way of getting a VW-sponsored extended warranty, haven’t asked what they would price that at.
Another local dealer has a same yr/model/trim with 21k miles for $18,900 (just one)
CarMax has same model/trim/year selling for $22,350 with 20k miles and $23,150 for 14k miles
A broker posting on Reddit said that at Manheim auctions, Pros are selling for $16,500, not including auction fee, broker fee and transport. He said a '24 Pro (which would be my preference, if I could get one for no more than 26k all in) is going for $18,500 on average. None of those are for sale at the moment at local dealers.
I think we would want to buy an extended warranty no matter which way we go. What would you do? If I wanted to do the broker buying at auction, how much time would I need to budget for that to be sure that I am not carless on the last day of December?