Subaru Outback end of lease options

Looking for some advice in regards to options with my lease on a 2020 Subaru Outback Premium.

Relevant Details:

  • Lease ends January 2023
  • $325 monthly payment
  • Current buyout price is $19,100
  • End of lease buyout is $17,200
  • Currently selling online for $28,000 - $31,000

So, I like the car and my first instinct is to buy it out at the end of the lease. I will need to finance the purchase, however, and it occurred to me that interest rates might rise considerably in the next 6 months. If so, would it make sense to get financing now and buy it this summer?

I also noticed that in my area there are current base Outback lease specials in the $250 a month range with $2,500 down. This seems hard to believe given the current market conditions. What am I missing? At those numbers, it would seem reasonable for me to get into the 2022 Subaru Outback Premium with the same payment and a check for the 2020 Outback.

Can someone please offer me their advice on what they would do in my position and tell me if I am just missing something completely.

Did you read every single word in the disclaimer(s)?

2500 down, but the fine print probably says, plus dealer fee, acquisition fee, registration, and first payment, which probably comes out to like 4 grand in NC.

Assuming the top bidder will buy your Subaru lease (not a Chase restriction but some buyers don’t buy some brands), AND you can get a new Outback at/under MSRP (some reports of small discounts), I would do that and buy your new Outback.

Otherwise I would buy-out this lease ASAP and keep driving it.

I would not flip into a new Outback lease, I most certainly would not roll this equity in.