I’m currently looking to lease a 2018 Outback 3.6R Ltd or Touring. Residual values for 10k are 64 and 62, respectively. MF is decent (.00065 and .00060). I am getting quotes of 14% off MSRP without even beginning to negotiate - I assume I can get them to come down further (I’ve read on here that some got 16% off MSRP last month, and I’ll shoot for this). But even without negotiating, this is a reasonable deal for a top of the line car - about $350/mo $0 drive away on a $40k+ MSRP.
My question: the new 2019 Outback will be coming out this summer, the last before a redesign next year for 2020. Does anyone have a sense of what the trend might be on changes to Sales price, MF, and RV at the end of a model year, and near the end of a generation? For example, I assume RV will be going down, but maybe Sales price will too? Would these cancel each other out? I’m looking for your insights into this kind of interaction.
The basic question is - is there a reason to pull the trigger now vs. holding off for a month or 3?
Thanks!